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MARC Record
Bibliographic Data
Control Number
256928
Date and Time of Latest Transaction
20141223085345.AM
General Information
141223s |||||||||b ||00|||
Cataloging Source
PAGASA-DOST
Language Code
eng
Main Entry - Personal Name
Rosa T. Perez
Rafael P. Lao
Dela Cruz, Ana B.
Main Entry - Corporate Name
TMRDO, DOST- PAGASA
Title Statement
BAGYO '80 an analog method of forecasting tropical cyclone tracks by Ana B. dela Cruz, Rosa T. Perez and Rafael P. Lao
Physical Description
u. p
Summary, Etc.
This study attempts to develop an analog technique of forecasting the movement of tropical cyclones in the Philippines. Basic features of Hurran and Tyfoon-72 are adopted in this scheme. Using 91-year data of tropical cyclones in the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), storms which exhibit similar characteristics and period of occurrence as the current tropical cyclone are considered as analog cyclones. These are displaced to a common origin, adjusted and fitted to a bivariate normal distribution. The centroid of the normal distribution is the forecast position with additional information given by the probability ellipses computed. These essential features of analog method are discusses in this paper. An evaluation of the method is presented and discussed
Subject Added Entry - Topical Term
Bagyo
Nutrition
Location
DOST PAGASA BOOKS technical reportcab PAG-07-2272 1 2119 Complimentary 2008-04-11
Physical Location
Department of Science and Technology
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration
Digital Copy
Not Available
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